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What is STATE?

STATE is a prediction market platform built on Solana. Every market on STATE is backed by a real-world news event — discovered automatically from global news sources and turned into a tradeable token. Unlike traditional prediction markets, every bet you place is a token purchase on a bonding curve. This means markets have real price action, constant buy pressure, and winners receive token payouts they can sell.

How It Works

1

Events are discovered

STATE’s AI pipeline (ARK2) monitors 20+ global news sources around the clock. When a significant, binary-outcome event emerges — a rate decision, election result, geopolitical move — ARK2 generates a market for it automatically.
2

A token is launched

Each event becomes a bonding curve token on Solana (e.g. $FEDRATE, $BTCQ1). The price rises with every buy — no liquidity pools, no order books.
3

You take a position

Bet YES or NO on the outcome. Your bet buys tokens on the bonding curve and locks them in escrow. Normal trading continues alongside the prediction market.
4

Event resolves

When the event resolves, winners receive the accumulated token pool proportional to their stake. Losers receive nothing. Winners can sell their tokens on the bonding curve for SOL.

Key Concepts

Bonding Curve

Every STATE market is powered by a synthetic bonding curve on Solana. Price is determined by supply — the more tokens bought, the higher the price.

ARK2 Pipeline

STATE’s AI engine continuously discovers news events, scores them for market viability, and generates titles, tickers, and resolution criteria automatically.

Oracle Resolution

Markets resolve based on real-world outcomes verified by STATE’s oracle. Resolution criteria are generated at market creation and locked in.

Creator Studio

Anyone can launch their own event market. Set the question, define resolution criteria, and deploy — the bonding curve handles the rest.

Why STATE?

On STATE, placing a bet and buying a token are the same action. This means prediction markets and token speculation reinforce each other — more bettors = higher token price = more speculation.
Markets are sourced from real news — Reuters, AP, Bloomberg, and 17 other feeds. STATE doesn’t create hypothetical events; it turns the news into markets.
When you win, you receive the accumulated token pool. You decide when to sell. If the market narrative continues to grow after resolution, your payout grows too.

Get Started

Launch the App

Connect your Phantom wallet and start trading on live STATE markets.

Create a Market

Launch your own event market in Creator Studio.